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Gastrointestinal cancer
Clinical Significance of Combining Preoperative and Postoperative Albumin-Bilirubin Score in Colorectal Cancer
Doyoun Kim, Jae-Hoon Lee, Eun-Suk Cho, Su-Jin Shin, Hye Sun Lee, Hwa-Hee Koh, Kang Young Lee, Jeonghyun Kang
Cancer Res Treat. 2023;55(4):1261-1269.   Published online April 17, 2023
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2022.1444
AbstractAbstract PDFSupplementary MaterialPubReaderePub
Purpose
Albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score is a well-known prognostic factor for various diseases, including colorectal cancer (CRC). However, little is known about the significance of postoperative ALBI score changes in patients with CRC.
Materials and Methods
A total of 723 patients who underwent surgery were enrolled. Preoperative ALBI (ALBI-pre) and postoperative ALBI (ALBI-post) scores were divided into low and high score groups. ALBI-trend was defined as a combination of four groups comprising the low and high ALBI-pre and ALBI-post score groups. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to compare the overall survival (OS) between the different ALBI groups. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to examine the independent relevant factors of OS. Stratification performance was compared between the different ALBI groupings using Harrell’s concordance index (C-index).
Results
ALBI-pre, ALBI-post, and ALBI-trend score groups were significant prognostic factors of OS in the univariable analysis. However, multivariable analysis showed that ALBI-trend was an independent prognostic factor while ALBI-pre and ALBI-post were not. The C-index of ALBI-trend (0.622; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.587 to 0.655) was higher than that of ALBI-pre (0.589; 95% CI, 0.557 to 0.621; bootstrap mean difference, 0.033; 95% CI, 0.013 to 0.057) and ALBI-post (0.575; 95% CI, 0.545 to 0.605; bootstrap mean difference, 0.047; 95% CI, 0.024 to 0.074).
Conclusion
Combining ALBI-pre and ALBI-post scores is an independent prognostic factor of OS and shows superior predictive power compared to ALBI-pre or ALBI-post alone in patients with CRC.

Citations

Citations to this article as recorded by  
  • Prognostic value of functional MRI and liver function synergy in hepatocellular carcinoma patients receiving combined locoregional-systemic therapy: A multicenter scoring model
    Langlang Tang, Kaiqian Que, Yanfen Lan, Yimin Li, Bin Wang, Zhuting Fang
    European Journal of Radiology.2026; 196: 112705.     CrossRef
  • Associations of bilirubin, albumin, and the ALBI index with gastric cancer risk: a smoking-stratified prospective cohort study in men
    Jong Won Shin, Ji-Won Lee, Nguyen Thien Minh, Sun Ha Jee
    BMC Gastroenterology.2026;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Comparing laboratory toxicity of selective intra-arterial radionuclide therapy for primary and metastatic liver tumors: resin versus glass microspheres
    Başak Soydaş-Turan, M. Fani Bozkurt, Gonca Eldem, Bora Peynircioglu, Omer Ugur, Bilge Volkan-Salanci
    Annals of Nuclear Medicine.2025; 39(4): 373.     CrossRef
  • Improvement of Hypoalbuminemia and Hepatic Reserve after Stent Placement for Postsurgical Portal Vein Stenosis
    Naoya Kinota, Daisuke Abo, Ryo Morita, Koji Yamasaki, Takaaki Fujii, Daisuke Kato, Tasuku Kimura, Yusuke Sakuhara, Kazufumi Okada, Isao Yokota, Tatsuya Orimo, Tatsuhiko Kakisaka, Toru Nakamura, Satoshi Hirano, Kazuyuki Minowa, Kohsuke Kudo
    Journal of Vascular and Interventional Radiology.2025; 36(4): 616.     CrossRef
  • Gastrointestinal tumors of the small bowel: prognostic roles of tumor stage and inflammatory markers
    Mehmet Torun, Sevil Özkan, Deniz Kol Özbay, Erkan Özkan
    Anatolian Current Medical Journal.2025; 7(2): 164.     CrossRef
  • Predictive value of preoperative serum cytokeratin 19 fragment antigen 21-1(CYFRA 21-1) in surgical resection for colorectal cancer: A retrospective study
    Shuyuan Gu, Shihui Chen, Yuan Chai, Chao Qu, Xuejun Sun, Junhui Yu
    Current Problems in Surgery.2025; 69: 101791.     CrossRef
  • Sex-Specific Associations of Total Bilirubin, ALBI, and PALBI with Lung Cancer Risk: Interactions with Smoking and Alcohol
    Jong Won Shin, Nguyen Thien Minh, Sun Ha Jee
    Healthcare.2025; 13(11): 1321.     CrossRef
  • Bilirubin Metabolism and Thyroid Cancer: Insights from ALBI and PALBI Indices
    Jong Won Shin, Jae Woong Sull, Nguyen Thien Minh, Sun Ha Jee
    Biomolecules.2025; 15(7): 1042.     CrossRef
  • Hemoglobin-Albumin-Lymphocyte-Platelet Score as an Integrative Biomarker for Prognosis and Sarcopenia in Colorectal Cancer
    Hailun Xie, Lishuang Wei, Shuangyi Tang, Jialiang Gan
    Journal of Inflammation Research.2025; Volume 18: 14709.     CrossRef
  • The association between the albumin-bilirubin score and postoperative delirium and prognosis in cardiac surgery patients: a retrospective dual-center cohort study using MIMIC-IV and eICU databases
    Na Zhu, Xiejia Weng, Xinxin Wang, Huiyang Cai
    BMC Surgery.2025;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • The prognostic value of preoperative serum liver function-related indicators in colorectal cancer
    Lang Wang, Jinshan Liu, Can Tan, Yuhang Diao, Lijuan Wang, Youyun Shi, Xinpeng Shu, Yong Cheng
    Medicine.2025; 104(51): e46047.     CrossRef
  • Research Progress of Albumin-Based Composite Markers in Prognosis Evaluation of Patients with Colorectal Cancer
    Xu Lei, Jie Yu
    Journal of Biosciences and Medicines.2025; 13(09): 24.     CrossRef
  • Assessment of the albumin-bilirubin score in breast cancer patients with liver metastasis after surgery
    Li Chen, Chunlei Tan, Qingwen Li, Zhibo Ma, Meng Wu, Xiaosheng Tan, Tiangen Wu, Jinwen Liu, Jing Wang
    Heliyon.2023; 9(11): e21772.     CrossRef
  • 6,982 View
  • 195 Download
  • 11 Web of Science
  • 13 Crossref
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Breast cancer
Marked Reduction in the Risk of Dementia in Patients with Breast Cancer: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study
Jooyoung Oh, Hye Sun Lee, Soyoung Jeon, Jeong-Ho Seok, Tae-Kyung Yoo, Woo-Chan Park, Chang Ik Yoon
Cancer Res Treat. 2023;55(2):551-561.   Published online October 19, 2022
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2022.272
AbstractAbstract PDFSupplementary MaterialPubReaderePub
Purpose
An inverse relationship between cancer and neurodegenerative disease, which presents the possibility of a reduced risk of dementia in cancer patients, has been suggested previously. However, a nationwide longitudinal population-based study of specific types of cancer with due consideration of treatment effects has not been conducted.
Materials and Methods
This nationwide population-based cohort study used data obtained in a 12-year period (January 2007- December 2018) in the Korean National Health Insurance claims database. All female breast cancer patients (age ≥ 50 years) diagnosed between 2009 and 2010 were included after excluding those with physician visits for any cancer during a 2-year period (2007-2008). Patients with senile cataract constituted the control group. The main study outcome was the risk of developing dementia.
Results
From a total of 90,396 and 85,906 patients with breast cancer and cataract, respectively, patients without behavior codes were excluded. Data for 15,407 breast cancer patients and 7,020 controls were analyzed before matching. After matching for comorbidities and age, either group comprised 2,252 patients. The median follow-up time was 104.1±24.0 months after matching. After matching, breast cancer was a predictor of a lower risk of for dementia (hazard ratio, 0.091; 95% confidence interval, 0.075 to 0.111; p < 0.001). In breast cancer patients, receiving chemotherapy and endocrine therapy did not significantly affect the incidence of dementia.
Conclusion
Breast cancer was associated with a remarkably decreased risk of dementia. The findings strongly suggest an inverse relationship between cancer and neurodegeneration, regardless of the adverse effects of cancer treatment on cognitive function.

Citations

Citations to this article as recorded by  
  • Timing of risk factors, prodromal features, and comorbidities of dementia from a large health claims case–control study
    Stefan Teipel, Manas Akmatov, Bernhard Michalowsky, Steffi Riedel-Heller, Jens Bohlken, Jakob Holstiege
    Alzheimer's Research & Therapy.2025;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Bidirectional association between breast cancer and dementia: a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies
    Fuxing Bao, Liang Yu, Xiaolei Zhang, Qier Mu
    PeerJ.2025; 13: e18888.     CrossRef
  • Changes in the Emergency Department Visits Among the Older Adults With Dementia Before, and After the Nationwide Social Distancing Measures: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis
    Jeongmin Moon, Kyung‐Shin Lee, Ho Kyung Sung, Seonji Kim
    International Journal of Geriatric Psychiatry.2025;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Association between Benzodiazepine and Dementia Risk in Treating Depression after Breast Cancer Diagnosis: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study
    Taehwan Kim, Hye Sun Lee, Soyoung Jeon, Dooreh Kim, Eunjoo Kim, Woo-Chan Park, Chang Ik Yoon, Jooyoung Oh
    Yonsei Medical Journal.2025; 66(9): 564.     CrossRef
  • Cardiovascular contributions to dementia: Examining sex differences and female‐specific factors
    Madeline Wood Alexander, Jane Paterson, Zoe Arvanitakis, Sandra E. Black, Kaitlin B. Casaletto, Marie K. Christakis, Gillian Einstein, Liisa A. M. Galea, Leila Harwood, Amy Kirkham, Sara Mitchell, Judy Pa, Lucas Perri, Tallinn F. L. Splinter, Walter Sward
    Alzheimer's & Dementia.2025;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Alzheimer Disease in Breast Cancer Survivors
    Su-Min Jeong, Wonyoung Jung, Hyeonjin Cho, Hea Lim Choi, Keun Hye Jeon, Ki-Woong Nam, Yun-Gyoo Lee, Bongseong Kim, Kyungdo Han, Dong Wook Shin
    JAMA Network Open.2025; 8(6): e2516468.     CrossRef
  • The risk of dementia in breast cancer survivors: a meta-analysis of observational studies
    Shijun Tan, Jiawei Yang, Guiping Guo, Shicui Hong, Li Guo, Honglin Situ
    Annals of Medicine.2025;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Inverse association of cancer with diagnoses of dementia in a large health claims case-control study
    Stefan Teipel, Manas Akmatov, Bernhard Michalowsky, Steffi Riedel-Heller, Christian Junghanss, Jakob Holstiege, Jens Bohlken
    Journal of Alzheimer’s Disease.2025; 108(1): 98.     CrossRef
  • Dementia and Cancer: Unravelling Methodological Biases in a Population-Based Cohort
    Amber P. Selie, Kimberly D. van der Willik, M. Arfan Ikram, Jeremy A. Labrecque, Sanne B. Schagen
    Neuroepidemiology.2025; : 1.     CrossRef
  • Developing theragnostics for Alzheimer's disease: Insights from cancer treatment
    Hyun-ju Lee, Hee-Jeong Choi, Yoo Joo Jeong, Yoon-Hee Na, Jin Tae Hong, Ji Min Han, Hyang-Sook Hoe, Key-Hwan Lim
    International Journal of Biological Macromolecules.2024; 269: 131925.     CrossRef
  • 8,787 View
  • 190 Download
  • 12 Web of Science
  • 10 Crossref
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Gastrointestinal cancer
Association of Body Mass Index with Survival in Asian Patients with Colorectal Cancer
Sangwon Lee, Dong Hee Lee, Jae-Hoon Lee, Su-Jin Shin, Hye Sun Lee, Eun Jung Park, Seung Hyuk Baik, Kang Young Lee, Jeonghyun Kang
Cancer Res Treat. 2022;54(3):860-872.   Published online October 15, 2021
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2021.656
AbstractAbstract PDFSupplementary MaterialPubReaderePub
Purpose
The clinical significance of body mass index (BMI) on long-term outcomes has not been extensively investigated in Asian patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). This study aims to describe the association between BMI and survival, plus providing BMI cut-off value for predicting prognosis in CRC patients.
Materials and Methods
A total of 1,182 patients who had undergone surgery for stage I-III CRC from June 2004 to February 2014 were included. BMI was categorized into four groups based on the recommendation for Asian ethnicity. The optimal BMI cut-off value was determined to maximize overall survival (OS) difference.
Results
In multivariable analysis, underweight BMI was significantly associated with poor OS (hazard ratio [HR], 2.38; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.55 to 3.71; p < 0.001) and obese BMI was associated with better OS (HR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.53 to 0.97; p=0.036) compared with the normal BMI. Overweight and obese BMI were associated with better recurrence-free survival (HR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.42 to 0.99; p=0.046 and HR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.38 to 0.89; p=0.014, respectively) compared with the normal BMI group. BMI cutoff value was 20.44 kg/m2. Adding the BMI cutoff value to cancer staging could increase discriminatory performance in terms of integrated area under the curve and Harrell’s concordance index.
Conclusion
Compared to normal BMI, underweight BMI was associated with poor survival whereas obese BMI was associated with better survival. BMI cut-off value of 20.44 kg/m2 is a useful discriminator in Asian patients with CRC.

Citations

Citations to this article as recorded by  
  • Impact of overweight and obesity on gastric and colorectal cancer incidence in the older adults: a nationwide cohort study
    Jinju Choi, Cheol Min Shin, Kyungdo Han, Jin-Hyung Jung, Se Yun Kim, Hyemin Jo, Ho-Kyoung Lee, Eun Hyo Jin, Seung Joo Kang, Joo Hyun Lim, Dong Ho Lee
    BMC Geriatrics.2026;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Survival Outcomes of Patients With Colorectal Cancer After Primary Surgery: A Population‐Based Study in Hainan, China
    Le Du, Luyao Sun, Dongsheng Ge, Mingfa Wang, Benguo Yu, Wenjun Yang, Wenlong Yang, Ruyuan An, Junchao Li, Jike Zhu, Zaipan Wang, Ning Liu, Wenting Cao
    Cancer Medicine.2026;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Comment on “Dense Tumor‐Infiltrating Lymphocytes (TILs) in Liver Metastasis From Colorectal Cancer Are Related to Improved Overall Survival”
    Fuji Lai, Sheng Li, Zhonglei Shen
    Journal of Surgical Oncology.2025; 131(4): 566.     CrossRef
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    H. Wen, G. Deng, X. Shi, Z. Liu, A. Lin, Q. Cheng, J. Zhang, P. Luo
    ESMO Open.2024; 9(3): 102241.     CrossRef
  • Trends in Anticoagulant Utilization and Clinical Outcomes for Cancer-Associated Thrombosis: A Multicenter Cohort Study in Thailand's Upper-Middle–Income Country Setting
    Kirati Kengkla, Surakit Nathisuwan, Warunsuda Sripakdee, Pirun Saelue, Kwanruethai Sengnoo, Aumkhae Sookprasert, Suphat Subongkot
    JCO Global Oncology.2024;[Epub]     CrossRef
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    Nerea Becerra‐Tomás, Georgios Markozannes, Margarita Cariolou, Katia Balducci, Rita Vieira, Sonia Kiss, Dagfinn Aune, Darren C. Greenwood, Laure Dossus, Ellen Copson, Andrew G. Renehan, Martijn Bours, Wendy Demark‐Wahnefried, Melissa M. Hudson, Anne M. Ma
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    Annals of Surgical Treatment and Research.2024; 107(2): 68.     CrossRef
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    Elisabetta Trevellin, Silvia Bettini, Anna Pilatone, Roberto Vettor, Gabriella Milan
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    Oncology Letters.2022;[Epub]     CrossRef
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  • 161 Download
  • 12 Web of Science
  • 10 Crossref
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Hematologic malignancy
Predictive Factors of Event-Free Survival at 24 Months in Patients with Peripheral T-Cell Lymphoma: A Retrospective Study
Yu Ri Kim, Soo-Jeong Kim, Hye Sun Lee, Soyoung Jeon, Hyunsoo Cho, Haerim Chung, Ji Eun Jang, June-Won Cheong, Yoo Hong Min, Jin Seok Kim
Cancer Res Treat. 2022;54(2):613-620.   Published online August 5, 2021
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2021.270
AbstractAbstract PDFPubReaderePub
Purpose
Event-free survival at 24 months (EFS24) is known to be a surrogate marker for overall survival (OS) for patients with peripheral T-cell lymphoma (PTCL). We examined the role of EFS24 in PTCL compared to diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL), and then assessed the clinical predictive factors of achieving EFS24.
Materials and Methods
Patients with newly diagnosed PTCL treated with anthracycline-based chemotherapy were included. Subsequent OS was defined as the time elapsed from 24 months after diagnosis until death from any cause in those who achieved EFS24.
Results
Overall, 153 patients were evaluated, and 51 patients (33.3%) achieved EFS24. Patients who achieved EFS24 showed superior OS compared to patients who did not (p < 0.001). EFS24 could stratify the subsequent OS although it did not reach to that of the general population. After matching the PTCL group to the DLBCL group based on the international prognostic index, the subsequent OS in patients who achieved EFS24 was similar between the two groups (p=0.094). Advanced stage was a significant factor to predict the failing EFS24 by multivariable analysis (p < 0.001).
Conclusion
Patients with PTCL who achieve EFS24 could have a favorable subsequent OS. Since advanced disease stage is a predictor of EFS24 failure, future efforts should focus on developing novel therapeutic strategies for PTCL patients presenting with advanced disease.

Citations

Citations to this article as recorded by  
  • Prognostic impact of pre-treatment and post-treatment plasma Epstein-Barr virus DNA in peripheral T-cell lymphomas
    Chu-Yi Chan, Tung-Liang Lin, Ming-Chung Kuo, Yu-Shin Hung, Hung Chang, Che-Wei Ou, Jin-Hou Wu, Hsuan-Jen Shih, Yi-Jiun Su, Lee-Yung Shih, Yuen-Chin Ong, Wen-Yu Chuang, Hsiao-Wen Kao
    Annals of Medicine.2025;[Epub]     CrossRef
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    Annals of Hematology.2024; 103(3): 869.     CrossRef
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    Sarit Assouline, Adriana Wiesinger, Clare Spooner, Jelena Jovanović, Max Schlueter
    Critical Reviews in Oncology/Hematology.2022; 175: 103711.     CrossRef
  • 9,120 View
  • 146 Download
  • 4 Web of Science
  • 3 Crossref
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Gastrointestinal Cancer
LASSO-Based Machine Learning Algorithm for Prediction of Lymph Node Metastasis in T1 Colorectal Cancer
Jeonghyun Kang, Yoon Jung Choi, Im-kyung Kim, Hye Sun Lee, Hogeun Kim, Seung Hyuk Baik, Nam Kyu Kim, Kang Young Lee
Cancer Res Treat. 2021;53(3):773-783.   Published online December 29, 2020
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2020.974
AbstractAbstract PDFSupplementary MaterialPubReaderePub
Purpose
The role of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) in predicting lymph node metastasis (LNM) in patients with T1 colorectal cancer (CRC) remains unclear. Furthermore, clinical utility of a machine learning–based approach has not been widely studied.
Materials and Methods
Immunohistochemistry for TILs against CD3, CD8, and forkhead box P3 in both center and invasive margin of the tumor were performed using surgically resected T1 CRC slides. Three hundred and sixteen patients were enrolled and categorized into training (n=221) and validation (n=95) sets via random sampling. Using clinicopathologic variables including TILs, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression model was applied for variable selection and predictive signature building in the training set. The predictive accuracy of our model and the Japanese criteria were compared using area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC), net reclassification improvement (NRI)/integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and decision curve analysis (DCA) in the validation set.
Results
LNM was detected in 29 (13.1%) and 12 (12.6%) patients in training and validation sets, respectively. Nine variables were selected and used to generate the LASSO model. Its performance was similar in training and validation sets (AUROC, 0.795 vs. 0.765; p=0.747). In the validation set, the LASSO model showed better outcomes in predicting LNM than Japanese criteria, as measured by AUROC (0.765 vs. 0.518, p=0.003) and NRI (0.447, p=0.039)/IDI (0.121, p=0.034). DCA showed positive net benefits in using our model.
Conclusion
Our LASSO model incorporating histopathologic parameters and TILs showed superior performance compared to conventional Japanese criteria in predicting LNM in patients with T1 CRC.

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    Frontiers in Endocrinology.2022;[Epub]     CrossRef
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    Morten Hartwig, Karoline Bendix Bräuner, Rasmus Vogelsang, Ismail Gögenur
    International Journal of Colorectal Disease.2022; 37(12): 2517.     CrossRef
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Genitourinary cancer
External Validation of the Long Short-Term Memory Artificial Neural Network-Based SCaP Survival Calculator for Prediction of Prostate Cancer Survival
Bumjin Lim, Kwang Suk Lee, Young Hwa Lee, Suah Kim, Choongki Min, Ju-Young Park, Hye Sun Lee, Jin Seon Cho, Sun Il Kim, Byung Ha Chung, Choung-Soo Kim, Kyo Chul Koo
Cancer Res Treat. 2021;53(2):558-566.   Published online October 6, 2020
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2020.637
AbstractAbstract PDFPubReaderePub
Purpose
Decision-making for treatment of newly diagnosed prostate cancer (PCa) is complex due to the multiple initial treatment modalities available. We aimed to externally validate the SCaP (Severance Study Group of Prostate Cancer) Survival Calculator that incorporates a long short-term memory artificial neural network (ANN) model to estimate survival outcomes of PCa according to initial treatment modality. Materials and Methods The validation cohort consisted of clinicopathological data of 4,415 patients diagnosed with biopsy-proven PCa between April 2005 and November 2018 at three institutions. Area under the curves (AUCs) and time-to-event calibration plots were utilized to determine the predictive accuracies of the SCaP Survival Calculator in terms of progression to castration-resistant PCa (CRPC)–free survival, cancer-specific survival (CSS), and overall survival (OS). Results Excellent discrimination was observed for CRPC-free survival, CSS, and OS outcomes, with AUCs of 0.962, 0.944, and 0.884 for 5-year outcomes and 0.959, 0.928, and 0.854 for 10-year outcomes, respectively. The AUC values were higher for all survival endpoints compared to those of the development cohort. Calibration plots showed that predicted probabilities of 5-year survival endpoints had concordance comparable to those of the observed frequencies. However, calibration performances declined for 10-year predictions with an overall underestimation. Conclusion The SCaP Survival Calculator is a reliable and useful tool for determining the optimal initial treatment modality and for guiding survival predictions for patients with newly diagnosed PCa. Further modifications in the ANN model incorporating cases with more extended follow-up periods are warranted to improve the ANN model for long-term predictions.

Citations

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    Sungun Bang, Young Jin Ahn, Kyo Chul Koo
    Frontiers in Oncology.2025;[Epub]     CrossRef
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    Frontiers in Oncology.2024;[Epub]     CrossRef
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Prognostic Scoring Index for Patients with Metastatic Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma
Hyung Soon Park, Hye Sun Lee, Ji Soo Park, Joon Seong Park, Dong Ki Lee, Se-Joon Lee, Dong Sup Yoon, Min Goo Lee, Hei-Cheul Jeung
Cancer Res Treat. 2016;48(4):1253-1263.   Published online February 3, 2016
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2015.400
AbstractAbstract PDFPubReaderePub
Purpose
This study focused on implementation of a prognostic scoring index based on clinico-laboratory parameters measured routinely on admission in metastatic pancreatic cancer patients.
Materials and Methods
Records from 403 patients of metastatic disease were analyzed retrospectively. Continuous variables were dichotomized according to the normal range or the best cut-off values statistically determined by Contal and O’Quigley method, and then analyzed in association with prognosis—overall survival (OS), using Cox’s proportional hazard model. Scores were calculated by summing the rounded chi-square scores for the factors that emerged in the multivariate analysis.
Results
Performance status, hemoglobin, leucocyte count, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, and carcinoembryonic antigen were independent factors for OS. When patients were divided into three risk groups according to these factors, median survival was 11.7, 6.2, and 1.3 months for the low, intermediate, and high-risk groups, respectively (p < 0.001). Palliative chemotherapy has a significant survival benefit for low and intermediate-risk patients (median OS; 12.5 months vs. 5.9 months, p < 0.001 and 8.0 months vs. 2.0 months, p < 0.001, respectively).
Conclusion
We advocate the use of a multivariable approach with continuous variables for prognostic modeling. Our index is helpful in accurate patient risk stratification and may aid in treatment selection.

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