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Can We Skip Intraoperative Evaluation of Sentinel Lymph Nodes? Nomogram Predicting Involvement of Three or More Axillary Lymph Nodes before Breast Cancer Surgery
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Soo Kyung Ahn, Min Kyoon Kim, Jongjin Kim, Eunshin Lee, Tae-Kyung Yoo, Han-Byoel Lee, Young Joon Kang, Jisun Kim, Hyeong-Gon Moon, Jung Min Chang, Nariya Cho, Woo Kyung Moon, In Ae Park, Dong-Young Noh, Wonshik Han
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Cancer Res Treat. 2017;49(4):1088-1096. Published online January 25, 2017
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2016.473
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Abstract
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- Purpose
The American College of Surgeons Oncology Group Z0011 trial reported that complete dissection of axillary lymph nodes (ALNs) may not be warranted in women with clinical T1-T2 tumors and one or two involved ALNs who were undergoing lumpectomy plus radiation followed by systemic therapy. The present study was conducted to identify preoperative imaging predictors of ≥ 3 ALNs.
Materials and Methods
The training set consisted of 1,917 patients with clinical T1-T2 and node negative invasive breast cancer. Factors associated with ≥ 3 involved ALNs were evaluated by logistic regression analysis. The validation set consisted of 378 independent patients. The nomogram was applied prospectively to 512 patients who met the Z0011 criteria.
Results
Of the 1,917 patients, 204 (10.6%) had ≥ 3 positive nodes. Multivariate analysis showed that involvement of ≥ 3 nodes was significantly associated with ultrasonographic and chest computed tomography findings of suspicious ALNs (p < 0.001 each). These two imaging criteria, plus patient age, were used to develop a nomogram calculating the probability of involvement of ≥ 3 ALNs. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the nomogram were 0.852 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.820 to 0.883) for the training set and 0.896 (95% CI, 0.836 to 0.957) for the validation set. Prospective application of the nomogram showed that 60 of 512 patients (11.7%) had scores above the cut-off. Application of the nomogram reduced operation time and cost, with a very low re-operation rate (1.6%).
Conclusion
Patients likely to have ≥ 3 positive ALNs could be identified by preoperative imaging. The nomogram was helpful in selective intraoperative examination of sentinel lymph nodes.
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Citations
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Antonio Piñero-Madrona, Francisco Ripoll-Orts, José Ignacio Sánchez-Méndez, Asunción Chaves-Benito, Maximiliano Rodrigo Gómez-de la Bárcena, Ana Calatrava-Fons, Salomón Menjón-Beltrán, Vicente Peg-Cámara Breast Cancer Research and Treatment.2020; 181(2): 339. CrossRef - Axillary Nodal Evaluation in Breast Cancer: State of the Art
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Woo Kyung Moon, I-Ling Chen, Ann Yi, Min Sun Bae, Sung Ui Shin, Ruey-Feng Chang Computer Methods and Programs in Biomedicine.2018; 162: 129. CrossRef - The Evolution of the Current Indications for Sentinel Lymph Node Biopsy in Breast Cancer
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Han-kyul Shin, Min Kyoon Kim, Sung Jun Park, Ju Won Seok, Hee-Chul Shin Journal of Breast Disease.2017; 5(2): 76. CrossRef
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Nomogram for Predicting Breast Conservation after Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy
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Min Kyoon Kim, Wonshik Han, Hyeong-Gon Moon, Soo Kyung Ahn, Jisun Kim, Jun Woo Lee, Ju-Yeon Kim, Taeryung Kim, Kyung-Hun Lee, Tae-Yong Kim, Sae-Won Han, Seock-Ah Im, Tae-You Kim, In Ae Park, Dong-Young Noh
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Cancer Res Treat. 2015;47(2):197-207. Published online September 4, 2014
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2013.247
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Abstract
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- Purpose
The ability to accurately predict the likelihood of achieving breast conservation surgery (BCS) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NCT) is important in deciding whether NCT or surgery should be the first-line treatment in patients with operable breast cancers. Materials and Methods We reviewed the data of 513 women, who had stage II or III breast cancer and received NCT and surgery from a single institution. The ability of various clinicopathologic factors to predict the achievement of BCS and tumor size reduction to ≤ 3 cm was assessed. Nomograms were built and validated in an independent cohort. Results BCS was performed in 50.1% of patients, with 42.2% of tumors reduced to ≤ 3 cm after NCT. A multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that smaller initial tumor size, longer distance between the lesion and the nipple, absence of suspicious calcifications on mammography, and a single tumor were associated with BCS rather than mastectomy (p < 0.05). Negative estrogen receptor, smaller initial tumor size, higher Ki-67 level, and absence of in situ component were associated with residual tumor size ≤ 3 cm (p < 0.05). Two nomograms were developed using these factors. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves for nomograms predicting BCS and residual tumor ≤ 3 cm were 0.800 and 0.777, respectively. The calibration plots showed good agreement between the predicted and actual probabilities. Conclusion We have established a model with novel factors that predicts BCS and residual tumor size after NCT. This model can help in making treatment decisions for patients who are candidates for NCT.
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Citations
Citations to this article as recorded by 
- Risk scoring system for predicting breast conservation after neoadjuvant chemotherapy
Lobna Ouldamer, Sofiane Bendifallah, Joseph Pilloy, Flavie Arbion, Gilles Body, Caroline Brisson, Vincent Lavoué, Jean Lévêque, Emile Daraï The Breast Journal.2019; 25(4): 696. CrossRef - Score for the Survival Probability in Metastasis Breast Cancer: A Nomogram-Based Risk Assessment Model
Zhenchong Xiong, Guangzheng Deng, Xinjian Huang, Xing Li, Xinhua Xie, Jin Wang, Zeyu Shuang, Xi Wang Cancer Research and Treatment.2018; 50(4): 1260. CrossRef - Development of Nomogram to Predict the Best Military Category Using Physical Fitness Variables: A Model Development in Navy Trainees
Milad Nazarzadeh, Ali Reza Khoshdel, Abolfazl Goodarzi, Alireza Mosavi Jarrahi Journal of Archives in Military Medicine.2018;[Epub] CrossRef - Predicting Successful Conservative Surgery after Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy in Hormone Receptor-Positive, HER2-Negative Breast Cancer
Chang Seok Ko, Kyu Min Kim, Jong Won Lee, Han Shin Lee, Sae Byul Lee, Guiyun Sohn, Jisun Kim, Hee Jeong Kim, Il Yong Chung, Beom Seok Ko, Byung Ho Son, Seung Do Ahn, Sung-Bae Kim, Hak Hee Kim, Sei Hyun Ahn Journal of Breast Disease.2018; 6(2): 52. CrossRef - External validation of a published nomogram for prediction of brain metastasis in patients with extra-cerebral metastatic breast cancer and risk regression analysis
Ludivine Genre, Henri Roché, Léonel Varela, Dorra Kanoun, Monia Ouali, Thomas Filleron, Florence Dalenc European Journal of Cancer.2017; 72: 200. CrossRef - Facteurs prédictifs de traitement conservateur après chimiothérapie néo-adjuvante dans le cancer du sein
J. Pilloy, C. Fleurier, M. Chas, L. Bédouet, M.L. Jourdan, F. Arbion, G. Body, L. Ouldamer Gynécologie Obstétrique Fertilité & Sénologie .2017; 45(9): 466. CrossRef - Actual Conversion Rate from Total Mastectomy to Breast Conservation after Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy for Stages II–III Breast Cancer Patients
Hyejin Mo, Yumi Kim, Jiyoung Rhu, Kyung-Hun Lee, Tae-Yong Kim, Seock-Ah Im, Eun-Shin Lee, Han-Byoel Lee, Hyeong-Gon Moon, Dong-Young Noh, Wonshik Han Journal of Breast Disease.2017; 5(2): 51. CrossRef
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